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Stop Press: The momentum is with the Labour Party.
JGJGJGJason ClareJulie Owens
Two new polls show that a majority of voters want the independents to back Labor to form government.The polls show that more voters want the three rural independents -- Tony Windsor, Rob Oakeshott and Bob Katter -- to back a Labor minority government than the coalition.
A Newspoll survey of 1134 voters on Monday and Tuesday, published in The Weekend Australian, shows 47 per cent want the ALP to get the independents' support and 39 per cent want the coalition to form government.
So far the ALP's seat count in the House of Representatives has been bolstered by formal agreements with the Greens' new MP, Adam Bandt, and Tasmanian independent Andrew Wilkie, to a total of 74 seats.The coalition has 73 seats of its own but the three independents have the power to decide which side forms a minority government, with 76 seats out of a total 150 House of Representatives MPs. (source Yahoo).

Australian Politics:
JULIA Gillard now needs the support of two of the three regional independents to form minority government after Andrew Wilkie today backed Labor.
The Tasmanian independent MP said a Gillard government would be “stable, competent and ethical”, and also revealed he had won concessions on poker machine reform and health in return for his support.But Mr Wilkie promised Tony Abbott that if the Coalition won the support of the three regional independents to form government he would not be obstructionist, pledging to back supply and reject unwarranted no-confidence votes.
Mr Wilkie's support leaves Labor with 74 seats, still short of the numbers it needs to govern, and independents Tony Windsor, Rob Oakeshott and Bob Katter remain the key to deciding which party will form the next government. (Source The Australain)


Opinion of GDL: We should go back to the polls as soon as possible.

It is now obvious that there is no clear winner from the recent general elections. None of the parties obtained the majority of 76 in its own right. The two main parties will now rely on the independents to form a government. However, in any case, with the support of the independents, the government will only reach the number of 76 or 77. This means a very slim majority.
To my opinion, it is impossible for such a big country to be governed by only a majority of 1 or 2.This will be an untenable situation in the lower house and we also know that the greens have the balance of power in the Senate which makes it even complicated.
The Independents, there are now 5 or 6 of them, have declared that they will now form part of any government, will stay independent but will not block supply and will not support any no-confidence motion. Even with this assurance, the independents are not a block, which means that each of them can/will vote in different directions on specific piece of legislations according to their judgment and in the best interest of their constituencies and the national interest. The concept of national interest is subjective: what is good for a candidate might not be perfect for another.
It is not possible and will not be possible for a government to function in stability and stay in power for long under such circumstances. In a true democracy, a government should be able to put in place its policies according to its manifesto and its electoral promises, and should not have to submit to the whims and demands of the independents on each piece of legislations.
So I conclude that new elections should be held the sonner possible to give us a clear majority and the winner can govern peacefully, in stability for 3 years and implementing its social and economic policies as per its program.
 

 International students in sex trade
International female students earn up to $10,000 a week as sex workers while brothel websites openly advertise "new fresh girls". One Asian woman has not turned up to  a single lesson at the English course she signed up to attend. Instead she has been working 12-hour shift, seven days a week at a group of 4 city brothels.
DIAC fraud officers were alerted to widespread abuse of student visas, with some of the sex workers paying corrupt immigration agents in their own country up to $8,000 to arrange their "visas" under the foreign student program.
(Read more in the (The Daily Telegraph 1 Sept 2010).

Stop Press: The Green, Adam Brandt signs up with Labour which makes :
Labour+Green=73, Coalition=73 and 4 Independents. 
         
              
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The latest on the Australian recent elections
Lets's be fair, square and clear about the results of the recent general elections. It is abvious that Labour lost the elections because it lost its majority of 18 seats and obtaining only 72 seats. The majority required for any party to form government in its own right is 76.
But by the same token, the Coalition of Tony Abbott did not win the elections at it fails to obtain a majority. The Coalition of Libs-Nats obtained only73 seats. Thus to form a government both parties need the support of the 5 Independents or some of them to reach the magic 76 number.
But what is the situation without the independents? This is how Paul Kelly analyses the situation:
"IN a situation of great uncertainty there is one certainty; Julia Gillard is entitled to stay prime minister until Tony Abbott constructs a majority against Labor or Gillard loses a confidence motion on the floor of parliament. The Governor-General will be directly involved if Gillard loses the confidence of the lower house. At this point Gillard would have to resign despite her repeated assertions that she intends to form a government. The only other option would be for Gillard to advise a new election claiming the parliament was unworkable.
 
However, there is one right Gillard does enjoy as PM; even if Abbott and enough independents reached an agreement, Gillard would be entitled as PM to test this on the floor of parliament to put it beyond question.If Gillard lost a confidence motion she would have to resign immediately. She would not be entitled to argue to Governor-General Quentin Bryce that she remains in office because Abbott might not be able to form a stable government.Once Gillard resigned, the Governor-General would send for Abbott, ask if Abbott were able to form a government and commission him."
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Opinion of GDL: .
In my wildest dream (or nightmare), I would never have given the slightest chance for Tony Abbott to be Australia's PM one day. I know the man and his many “deboires” too well. His conservative views, his arrogance, his belief in white supremacy, he is against immigration and multiculturalism. We all know that he had PM ambition for a long time but even if he was very very close to John Howard, Peter Costello was second in charge and was tipped to be the Liberals next leader. With the demise of the Coalition at the 2007 elections, Peter Costello turned his back on politics and the way was opened to other contenders. At the time, no one was betting on Tony Abbott to lead the party. The Libs preferred Brendon Nelson and then Malcolm Turnbull. But then came an unexpected event, the ETS which divided the Coalition and Tony became leader by only one vote difference over Malcolm Turnbull. 
When Tony Abbott was elected leader of his party, I was thinking that these people are crazy, they must be mad to endorse such an individual with all his past and what we all know about him, he would be unelectable and lead the party to the wilderness.(karo kann).
But this campaign proved me wrong and I have to do my mea culpa three times. Tony Abbott capitalized on Labour’s mistakes(there are so many of them) and the "knifing" of Kevin Rudd so well that he cut short Julia’s honeymoon with the public. He behaved so well, made no mistake, avoided any slip of the tongue (for which he is renown). He ran a perfect negative campaign and kept hammering Labor and the government in their most sensitive areas: the debt, mismanagement, the boat people,the insulation debacle and Kevin Rudd demise. These were the issues that caused Labour to lose this election. Labour's better Health and Education, Broadband network, good management of the GFC do not seem not enough to outweigh the mistakes.
Nevertheless, I supported Julia and Labour because I beleive that they are more compasionate to people who are on the lower rungs of the ladder. Their social policies are better suited for equal opportunitues and chances for all. I also believe that Labour has done well during the GFC as compared to other countries.
It seems however, that the August 21 elections was more of a protest vote against labour even though, as Malcolm Fraser said, Tony and his team are not ready to govern.  But this is the nature of politics and this is democracy. The party winning the most seats should govern even as a monority government.

Uncertainty still prevails in Australia.
It is still not known which party will form the new government. While it is now 73-73 seats each, Labour has gained a slight majority votes on two-party preferred. Each of the tw major parties does not a valid claim to form a government in its its own right.

We still do not have a clue  which way the 4 independents will go, or will they finally decide to sit on the fence. Can they deprive Labour of power ? I believe that the independents are just playing delaying tactics and try to get the best deals for their electorates.
No matter who wins government, their demands will be met to some extent ; however neither the Coalition nor Labour has to submit to their whims and caprices and surely not be seen as "bending down" in front of them. The Independents cannot block supply nor should they vote on motion of no confidence.
At this stage, I feel that all negotiations should be stopped as it has become irrelevant. The next negotiation round with the Independents will come on the floor of parliament, whenever the government will present new legislations.

The Two-Party-Preferred vote explained:
The argument over legitimacy continues. Julia Gillard claims the national two party preferred vote is “the” vote, while Tony Abbot says the primary vote is more important. Who’s right? The answer to this question is ...... easy: it’s Gillard.
Our system of preferential voting is conceptually like the two round one in countries like France. There, a first vote is taken between lots of candidates. Then two weeks later another election is held between the only two viable candidates. Sometimes, as here, the runner up in the first vote wins the second one. We do something like that but on the same day, on the same piece of paper.
So the answer to which is “the vote” is clear unless you want to pretend we have fir